7 NFL Draft Best Bets from Harry Bondi

April 21, 2020 Greg Turner

We hope this Bondi Blog post finds you healthy!

The staff at Harry Bondi Sports is using these difficult times to prepare like never before for the start of baseball and football season so when sports return, we will be ready to kick ass! 

In the meantime, the NFL Draft offers some great betting opportunities. If you can’t get down on these props, give Harry a call at 1-877-332-0077 and he’ll recommend a couple of offshore books that you can trust to get paid with no hassle.

Over 3.5 Big 12 Players Drafted in First Round (-120)

There is a ton of Big 12 talent up for grabs. Oklahoma WR CeeDee Lamb and his teammate, LB Kenneth Murray, are virtual locks to be first-round picks. So, that means we only need two more to get up and over the 3.5. TCU defensive lineman Ross Blacklock has seen his stock rise in recent weeks and other very good Round 1 prospects include Oklahoma DT Neville Gallimore, Baylor WR Denzel Mims and TCU CB Jeff Gladney. If things fall correctly, we wouldn’t be surprised to see five Big 10 players go in Round 1.

Justin Herbert to be Second QB Taken (-125)

We all know Joe Burrow will go No. 1 overall to the Bengals and, barring the unforeseen, it’s a two-man race to see who will be the second QB taken. Way back in February, Tua Tagovailoa was -500 to be the second QB taken, but much has changed, including reports by multiple teams of the Alabama QB failing a physical. Bottom line: Without being able to work him out in person, teams will consider Tua too much of an injury risk. Meanwhile, Oregon’s Justin Herbert (right) was named both the “Practice Player of the Week” and the MVP of the Senior Bowl in January and is the much safer pick.

QB Jordan Love Draft Position Over 16.5 (-125)

This pick is also related to the COVID-19 pandemic and the fact that teams haven’t been able to get a close look at Jordan Love, a tantalizing talent for sure, but also a risky pick. Love has the size (6-foot-4, 225 pounds) and athleticism (4.52 40-yard dash), but he is a wildcard because he didn’t play against top-notch talent and was prone to making poor decisions. If the Dolphins and Chargers take Tagovailoa and Herbert, the only other teams that may consider Love are the Saints, Packers and Colts, and they all draft after 17. If Tua slides down, Love may not even be a first-rounder.

OL Tristan Wirfs Draft Position Under 8.5 (+150)

Tristan Wirfs is a right tackle who can also play guard. He’s the only true freshman to start on Iowa’s always elite offensive line, had a tremendous performance at the combine and has freaky NFL potential. Wirfs has sick core strength and the tools to handle gap-blocking duties. He’s also one of the best outside zone blockers we have ever seen. He could go as early as No. 4 to the Giants, whose GM Dave Gettleman loves drafting linemen and needs to protect QB Daniel Jones. Six of Gettleman’s last 16 draft picks have been OL. He won’t get past Arizona, which is in desperate need of offensive line help and pick No. 9.

WR Jerry Jeudy Drafted Before CeeDee Lamb (+110)

Jerry Jeudy was viewed as a top four pick entering the season, but he’s become the victim of over analysis. Jeudy is an elite receiver who was a touchdown waiting to happen every time he touched the ball at Alabama. He has great footwork, is an elite route runner, much better than CeeDee Lamb, and had a faster 40 time at the combine. He played against the best corners and safeties in the SEC and routinely beat them. Lamb is a big time talent for sure, but mostly ran past corners in the notoriously defensively weak Big 12. That won’t happen as often in the pros. They will both be outstanding NFL receivers but Juedy has better skills, including being able to play in the slot or outside and will be taken before Lamb.

RB D’Andre Swift Drafted in First Round (+110)

Georgia’s elite RB is a -210 favorite to be the first running back drafted. That’s a little bit too much juice for us to lay, but we do like Swift to be taken in the 1st round. Drafting a RB in the 1st round had fallen out of favor in the NFL, but a team has done it in 4 of the last 5 drafts and been rewarded with Ezekiel Elliot, Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley and Josh Jacobs. Miami has three first round picks and after drafting a QB, they’re the most likely landing spot for Swift.

Antoine Winfield Jr. Drafted Before Grant Delpit (+280)

Antoine Winfield Jr. was the Big 10 Cornerback of the Year over Jeff Okudah, who will be a top 5 pick. Like his dad, a 9-year NFL pro, the kid’s a playmaker. He had seven interceptions for Minnesota last fall and ran a 4.45 at the combine. Winfield has said that he’s heard from the Vikings, Chiefs, Patriots, Titans and Buccaneers. He’s a potential 1st rounder and lock for early second round. LSU’s Grant Delpit is starting to drop as talent evaluators look at his film. He wows on paper but on film he misses a lot of tackles and is injury prone. With teams not able to get a close look at him, Winfield is the safer pick.