Winners and Losers from the New NFL Schedule Release

May 14, 2020 Greg Turner

Best wishes from the Harry Bondi Sports family to you and yours!  

There are a couple of live sports to look forward to this weekend! First, we will continue to make money betting horses. Last Saturday, we cashed two out of our three best bets at Gulfstream Park in Florida with a $20 across-the-board ticket netting $250! 

We will be back in action with three more horse racing best bets this Saturday. Get a Daily Pass for our horse racing picks for $50 or get  the next three Saturdays of Horse Best Bets for just $99. Call 1-877-332-0077 to climb aboard the Harry Bondi “Horse Racing Steam Team.” 

This Saturday is also the TaylorMade Driving Relief Charity Golf Match, featuring Rory McIlroy and Dustin Johnson versus Rickie Fowler and Matthew Wolff. Mac and DJ are a -195 favorite in the 18-hole skins match, so it’s hard to find value. On paper, it would appear that Fowler and Wolff may be over matched, but they are buddies off the course and are both former Oklahoma State stars so they’ll more than likely have better chemistry than the pairing of McIlory, who can be a huge sourball, and the aloof Mrs. Paulina Gretzky. 

Since the NFL officially released its master schedule for the 2020 season last week, the handicapping staff here at Harry Bondi Sports has been running the numbers, evaluating strength of schedule and uncovering unique situations and angles that will make for great betting opportunities this fall!

Using a matrix that we launched about seven years ago and have tinkered with over the years, we have found that the Atlanta Falcons have the most difficult schedule this year. 

Simply put, the Falcons are screwed.

Using the average of Season Over/Under Win Totals from more than a dozen Las Vegas and offshore sportsbooks, we found that Atlanta will play just two teams (Carolina and Detroit) with a season win total of 7.5 or less and an NFL-high nine teams with a win total of 9 or more. Not only is the NFC South much improved, but one of Atlanta’s non-conference games is a date at Kansas City in late December, not good for a dome team, and they could easily begin the year going 0-4, or 1-3 at best, with games to start the season against Seattle, at Dallas, Chicago and at Green Bay. 

It’s worth noting that teams that start the season 1-3 make the playoffs just 14% of the time!

We already mentioned in a previous Bondi Blog that we love what the Baltimore Ravens have done with their roster and now the NFL helped out Lamar Jackson and Co. by handing them the third-easiest schedule in the NFL, according to our metrics.

Not only are the opponents very manageable (12 of the 16 games are against non-playoff teams from last year), but they’ll travel just 6,300 air miles this season, the least amount for any team since 2016, and will travel out of their own time zone just once all year! Following a trip home after playing Houston on September 20, the Ravens won’t board a plane until Nov. 7. That’s a six-week period that features three home games, a bye week and two road games to Washington and Philadelphia that are so close they will bus to Washington, a half hour away and Philadelphia, an hour and a half away. 

What’s more, in a game that could very well decide the only postseason bye in the AFC this season due to the new playoff system, the Ravens get the Chiefs at home on Sept. 28. Making things even more manageable, Baltimore finishes the season against Cleveland, Jacksonville, NY Giants and Cincinnati!

Stay tuned to the Bondi Blog and the Bondi Bulletin newsletter in the coming weeks as we’ll explain why teams like the Raiders, Patriots and NY Jets also received zero favors from the schedule makers and why the Cardinals, Colts and Bears will benefit greatly from their new schedules.

On the college football side of things, Clemson will be favored in all 12 games this year. In 10 of those games the Tigers will be favored by more than 25 points! Dabo’s Boys’ only single-digit pointspread will be when they will be around a TD favorite at Notre Dame on November 7. 

Nebraska plays the nation’s toughest schedule, facing Ohio State, Iowa and Wisconsin on the road and hosting Cincinnati, Penn State and Minnesota. For the second straight season, the country’s easiest schedule belongs to UAB. The Blazers have enjoyed an amazing run since bringing back football in 2017, earning bowl bids in all three seasons. Coach Bill Clark’s 2020 team will have nine starters returning on both sides of the ball so they should have another bowl season. 

Thank you for your continued support during this trying time. We are looking forward to the return of major sports soon and when it happens we will be ready to WIN BIG because of the preparation we have done during the COVID-19 lockdown.

In the meantime, we are fortunate to have one of the best golf handicappers in the world on our staff in Greg Turner. We will be back with our preview of the highly anticipated match between Tiger Woods and Peyton Manning versus Phil Mickelson and Tom Brady next week. The PGA Tour starts June 11th and between that and horse racing we will have a little action and make a few bucks

Call Harry at 1-877-332-0077 if you would like to be involved and pocket some CASH!